Congress Must Act on the Catastrophic Nuclear Deal
Why the agreement is contrary to American interests and national security.
One of the most strategically-catastrophic agreements of our generation has now been reached between P5+1 and the Islamic Republic. President Obama most likely believes that he has achieved his Middle East and foreign policy legacy, although the deal will be significantly detrimental to US interests in the region and poses the gravest threat to the United States and its allies.
The Islamic Republic’s nuclear infrastructure will remain intact. Iran will continue to receive sanctions relief. Iran will have the arms embargo lifted. What the ruling clerics could not achieve in 30 years (obtaining a nuclear bomb) deceitfully, sneakily and covertly, they can obtain in 10 years legitimately based on this deal.
Mr. Kerry’s goal to get a Nobel Prize and President Obama’s objective of securing his lifetime legacy has brought sever repercussions on the global balance of power and US credibility and prestige.
Sudden Shift: Obama Became More and More Desperate
With regards to the nuclear talks, it is very intriguing to see how the tone of Secretary of State John Kerry changed overnight, from indicating an agreement was impossible over the weekend to one stating both sides (the Islamic Republic and American negotiating teams) were suddenly in total agreement on Sunday. The heated discussions and shouting on Saturday suddenly changed to amicable talk on Sunday.
A few days earlier, Secretary of State John Kerry pointed out, “If the tough decisions don’t get made, we are absolutely prepared to call an end to this process,” adding, “We will not rush, and we will not be rushed.” But on Sunday, he stated that talks were “[p]ositive. I think we’re getting to some real decisions. So I will say, because we have a few tough things to do, I remain hopeful. Hopeful.”
Similarly the negative tone expressed over the weakened by Iran’s negotiating teamand leaders, including Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, quickly switched to a more optimistic tone on Sunday. Recently, Zarif warned Western officials to “[n]ever try to threaten the Iranians.“ An Iranian official accused the United States of altering its position and added, “There have been a lot of changes of positions.“ Nevertheless, on Sunday, issues had suddenly changed and an Iranian official pointed out that ”[s]ome 99 percent of the issues have been resolved and the agreement is ready.”
How is it that, in one of the most contentious international debates, the deep disagreements and gaps were suddenly resolved in 24 hours? How was the 12-year stand-off solved in one day? Why did the official statements that suggested the agreement was far away change 180 degrees overnight?
The Catastrophic Nuclear Deal
This overnight change of position and behavior on such a complicated and dangerous international issue suggests several crucial issues:
First of all, the agreement, the deal, and the terms are considerably flimsy. A nearly 100-page deal – which originates from opposing stances on a sudden agreement on all issues – is incredibly untrustworthy.
Secondly, it seems that at the last moment, President Obama might have ordered the American negotiating team to ignore all the differences and make the agreement. This suggests that President Obama has given in to all the demands of the Iranian leaders. Without an executive order from President Obama, how can one explain the sudden shift in tone of the American negotiating team?
The president has surrendered to all the Iranian leaders’ demands discussed at the negotiating table. Iranian leaders are totally cognizant of the fact that President Obama is desperate for such a deal for his Middle Eastern and foreign policy legacy, and they exploited this vulnerability.
The Catastrophic International Diplomacy: Congress Must Act
Seeing the desperation of President Obama, the shrewd Iranian leaders even brought the issue of the UN arms embargo against Iran to the negotiating table in the eleventh hour. Russia and China support the Islamic Republic because they are the major actors selling arms and sophisticated weapons to the Islamic Republic.
The UN arms embargo on the Islamic Republic did not have anything to do with the nuclear talks. It was imposed on Iran by the United Nations Security Council members due to Tehran’s terrorist activities and due to the concerns brought up by many other countries with regard to Iran’s regional aggression and military activities, as well as the nation’s regional hegemonic ambitions. The embargo was due to Iran’s support for militias and proxies causing instability in the region as well.
But, the ruling clerics (with the Russians and Chinese on their side) thought that they could get any concessions from the US, particularly from the weak US president. Iranian, Russian and Chinese leaders know that President Obama will do anything to avoid the collapse of the talks even if his objective and goal might lead to one of the greatest threats and mistakes in international diplomacy and deals.
The Deal Is Suicidal for the US Interest in the Region
The American Congress should review the agreement. It is crucial to point out that Iran’s powerful hardliners, including the senior cadre of the IRGC and office of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, are in favor of the deal, even though they might show otherwise in public. Khamenei, who recently gave an incendiary speech calling for fighting against the United States and its “global arrogance,” does in fact desire the agreement, as seen in the fact that Iran’s negotiating team would not have taken any step without being instructed and authorized by him.
Once the agreement is reviewed, the American Congress _must_ immediately act, voting against the nuclear agreement because the deal will primarily keep Iran’s nuclear infrastructure intact and it will in fact assist Iran by making it a nuclear threshold state. It will also release billions of dollars to the theocratic regime and the IRGC, which will ally with Russia, China, and Hezbollah, to fight against American interests in the region. The deal is a total disaster and inimical to American interests. The deal is suicidal for the United States considering its interest in the Middle East.
President Obama will veto Congress’s decision. In order to overturn the President’s veto, Congress should gather two-thirds of the votes in each chamber (the Senate and House of Representatives). The Republicans need 12 Democrats come to their side in the Senate in order to block the agreement from being signed by the President.
If Congress fails to overturn the President’s veto, the deal will be either signed before the IAEA verifies that Iran is complying with the terms of the agreements or after. One of the most potentially catastrophic international deals may soon occur.